1 Caravel who I anticipate to be on the lead. Trainer Brad Cox sends out one of the probable favorites in No. She should finish strongly as one of the lower priced runners. She has the fewest starts in the field and has never had the lead at the second call in any of those tries. 4 Bout Time has four turf tries all at 5.5 furlongs or shorter with three wins and a second place finish across three different tracks. The shorter distance coupled with her versatility on dirt make her a major player here at odds of 8-1. In her last start she was on the engine in a 6.5 furlong turf graded stake at Woodbine and managed to finish second after setting a torrid pace. Her dirt efforts showed versatility coming from off the pace or on the lead. 8 Souper Sensational who is trying turf for only the second time in this her 12th lifetime start. I expect improvement in her second try with Clement and at 12-1 she looks like an overlay.

She has a pace pressing style and encountered some trouble in that last effort yet was beaten less than two lengths for the win. 7 Lady Edith who was fourth coming out of the same race as No. One of the two Christophe Clement runners who is making her second start under his care is No. She is lightly raced and has room for improvement. 3 Star Devine ran a strong second last time out coming out of the same race as four other starters, does not need to lead, and has finished fourth or better in all six of her turf sprint starts. I anticipate a solid pace with the advantage to off pace runners and closers. There is a solid amount of speed with runners combining for a nearly one in four rate of being on the lead at the second call for races that show. The field has combined for an in-the-money rate of greater than two of every three starts overall and more than three of four starts at the distance. The final two runners exit dirt events at Belmont including one trying turf for the first time. Eight of the runners exit turf events including five at Belmont, two at Monmouth and one at Woodbine. The Caress Stakes (G3) a 5.5 furlong turf sprint contested on the main turf course for fillies and mares 4-year-olds and up attracted a total of 10 runners including two trained by Christophe Clement. The Saturday cards at Saratoga and Del Mar provide 4 opportunities on dirt and turf.

Field that has runners seemingly ignored in the pool that would be at very high odds at post time but could be in the top four randomly.

The ability to confidently key a horse that is not an odds-on or a heavily bet favorite.

Betting interests of at least nine entries but not more than 12.

To maximize return, I am looking for three conditions to create potential for a high payoff. The superfecta key strategy illustrated above requires you to ensure that your keyed horse finish in one of those top four positions. Without getting too technical here, it is obvious if you have an opinion on a race, a box of any sort makes little sense. There are books out there and it is common logic that the box wager makes no sense unless all horses are valued equally by the handicapper.

KEYING ONE RUNNER IN THE 10 CENT BOX WITH The table below summarizes the reduction in your outlays for superfecta wagers when you key one runner essentially boxing it with four to seven other runners.

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